前辅文
 第一部分　综述
  热带气旋突变现象国际高端论坛综述 陈联寿
 第二部分　参会专家名单
  参会专家名单
 第三部分　特邀报告及报告人简介
  西北太平洋台风加强减弱的环境调控因子——风速垂直切变和海洋热容量Russell L Elsberry
  登陆热带气旋结构和强度变化研究综述 陈联寿
  中国台风预报、预警系统的现状和挑战 端义宏
  强热带气旋George(2007)路径预报的挑战Jim Davidson
  热带气旋突变现象的初始化、预报和诊断Noel vidson
  飓风Wilma (2005) 快速增强的研究DaLin Zhang
  关于台风Megi（2010）强度、结构和路径突变的数值研究 Yuqing Wang
  莫拉克台风引发台湾地区异常降水可能原因徐祥德
  孟加拉湾气旋强度和路径突变相关的风暴潮预报 Shishir K Dube
  热带气旋加强和稳定阶段内核结构的差异 Robert gers
  对流加热对热带气旋涡旋结构演变的影响——理想三维全物理模式模拟Chun Chieh Wu
  热带气旋的结构和路径突变：策略、技术和工具Mark A Lander
  热带气旋对上海的益处——缓解盛夏酷暑 雷小途
 第四部分　专题报告及部分报告人简介
  专题A　热带气旋路径突变
   台风PARMA（Pepeng，2009）第三次登陆菲律宾责任区的分析Carina G. Lao
   北印度洋热带气旋路径突变特征M Mohapatra
   西北太平洋热带气旋路径突变的合成分析 吴立广
   近十年来西北太平洋台风摆动路径的原因初探 王咏青
   近180°极端转向路径台风的机制分析 黄小刚
   台风Saola(1209)路径特点及成因分析 刘爱鸣
   超强台风Megi(2010)路径偏折的可预报性及动力学分析 钱传海
   西北太平洋热带气旋运动及其突变的若干统计特征(P) 戴高菊
  专题B　热带气旋结构和强度突变
   基于红外云图的迅速加强热带气旋的中尺度强对流特征分析 余　晖
   浙江沿海登陆台风结构特性的多普勒雷达资料分析 冀春晓
   热带气旋结构变化对环境水汽变化的响应 张庆红
   初始涡旋结构对热带气旋快速加强影响研究 徐　晶
   海洋飞沫对热带气旋结构和强度变化影响 曾智华
   西北太平洋热带气旋变性阶段强度变化的比较研究(P) 应　俊
   东海台风Xangsane（0020）强度减弱特征及其机理研究(P) 钱燕珍
  专题C　登陆热带气旋降水突然增幅
   登陆台风暴雨增幅及其云微物理特征崔晓鹏
   冷空气强度影响Talim（0513）降水增幅的数值研究 董美莹
   热带气旋内、外螺旋雨带的数值模拟比较研究 李青青
   江淮梅汛期热带气旋倒槽暴雨特征分析 濮梅娟
   北京地区的台风降水特征研究 李　英
   热带气旋内混合涡旋Rossby-重力波Ⅰ：理论分析 陆汉城
   热带气旋内混合涡旋Rossby-重力波Ⅱ：特征频率分析(P) 钟　玮
   一个关于热带气旋远程降水统计和诊断分析的研究(P) 丛春华
   一次孟湾风暴Akash(0701)对我国西南地区强降水过程的影响分析(P) 吕爱民
  专题D　热带气旋突变预报技术
   基于卫星资料得到的动力和物理约束进行台风模式初始化 马雷鸣
   广义位涡、广义位温的回顾及其在极端天气事件中的应用 高守亭
   双台风效应对Morakot(0908)极端降雨影响的数值试验 许映龙
   台风路径集合预报的集成方法研究漆梁波
   鄱阳湖对热带气旋影响的统计分析和数值模拟张胜军
   基于NCEP气候预报模式建立西太平洋热带气旋生成频次预报系统 李　勋
   一种登陆台风暴雨业务预报思路程正泉
   台风桑美（2006）快速增强的数值模拟研究及其对微物理参数化方案的敏感性试验明　杰
   陆面水体对台风Rananim（0414）内陆维持和降水影响的敏感性试验(P)魏　娜　130
 后记
 Part Ⅰ　Overview of the Forum
  An Overview of International Toplevel Forum on Rapid Change Phenomena in Tropical Cyclones Lianshou Chen
 Part Ⅱ　List of Experts Attending the Forum
  List of Experts Attending the Forum
 Part Ⅲ　Keynote Lectures and Brief Introduction of Speakers
  Vertical Wind Shear and Ocean Heat Content as Environmental Modulators of Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Intensification and DecayRussell sberry
  A Perspective on the Research of Structure and Intensity Change for Landfalling Tropical CyclonesLianshou Chen
  Current Status and Challenges of Typhoon Forecasting and Warning Systems in China Yihong Duan
  Challenging Aspects of Severe Tropical Cyclone George’s Track Forecasts Jim Davidson
  Initialization, Prediction and Diagnosis of Some RapidChange Phenomena in Tropical  CyclonesNoel vidson
  On the Rapid Intensification of Hurricane Wilma (2005) DaLin Zhang
  A Numerical Study of Rapid Changes in Intensity, Structure, and Track of Typhoon Megi(2010)Yuqing Wang
  A Possible Mechanism Responsible for Exceptional Rainfall over Taiwan from Typhoon Morakot Xiangde Xu
  Storm Surge Forecasting Associated with Sudden Changes in the Intensity and Tracks of Cyclones in the Bay of Bengal Shishir K. Dube
  Innercore Structural Differences of Intensifying and Steadystate Tropical Cyclones Robert gers
  The Role of Convective Heating in Tropical Cyclone Vortex Evolution—Idealized Threedimensional Fullphysics Model SimulationsChunChieh Wu
  Rapid Structure and Track Changes: Another Look at Strategies, Techniques, Tools Mark A. Lander
  The Benefit of Tropical Cyclone on Mitigating the Summer Heat Wave in Shanghai Xiaotu Lei
 Part Ⅳ　Topic Presentations and Brief Introduction of Partial Speakers
  Session A　Sudden Change of Tropical Cyclone Tracks
   Typhoon PARMA (2009: Pepeng) Made its Third Landfall in the Philippine Area
   of ResponsibilityCarina G. Lao
   Characteristics of Sudden Changes in Tropical Cyclone Tracks over North Indian Ocean M. Mohapatra
   Sudden Tropical Cyclone Track Changes over Western North Pacific: A Composite Study Liguang Wu
   Meandering Typhoon Tracks in the Western North Pacific during 2001-2009Yongqing Wang
   The Mechanism Analysis for the Nearly 180° Sudden Reversal Typhoon Xiaogang Huang
   Rapid Changes in the Track of Tropical Cyclone Saola(1209) in Aiming Liu
   Probabilistic Evaluation of the Dynamics and Prediction of Supertyphoon Megi (2010) Chuanhai Qian
   Statistical Characteristics of Tropical Cyclone Motion and Sharp Turning over North Western Pacific(P) Gaoju Dai
  Session B　Rapid Change of Tropical Cyclone Structure and Intensity
   Infrared Features of Mesoscale Deep Convection in Tropical Cyclones Experiencing 
   Rapid Intensification Hui Yu
   Study of Structures and Characteristics of Typhoons Landing on Southeast Coast of ZhejiangProvince in China from Doppler Radar Data Chunxiao Ji
   A Modeling Study on Tropical Cyclone Structural Changes in Response to Ambient Moisture Variations Qinghong Zhang
   Sensitivity of Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification to the Initial Vortex StructureJing Xu
   Impact of Sea Spray on Tropical Cyclone Structure and Intensity Change Zhihua Zeng
   A Comparison Research of Intensity Change of Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclones during the Extratropical Transition(P) Jun Ying
   An Analysis of the Characteristics and Mechanisms of Xangsane(0020)’s Decaying Process Over the East China Sea(P) Yanzhen Qian
  Session C　Rainfall Reinforcement of Landfalling Tropical Cyclones
   Rainfall Enhancement Associated with a Landfalling TC and Its Cloud Microphysical Characteristics Xiaopeng Cui
   Numerical Study of Cold Air Impact on Rainfall Reinforcement Associated with Tropical Cyclone Talim (2005) pact of Different Cold Air Intensity Meiying Dong
   A Comparison of Inner and Outer Spiral Rainbands in a Numerically Simulated Tropical Cyclone Qingqing Li
   An Analysis of the Characteristics of Tropical Cyclone Inverted Trough Torrential Rainfalls During the Meiyuperiod of YangtzeHuai River Basin Meijuan Pu
   A Study on Typhooninduced Rainfalls over Beijing:Statistics and Case Analysis Ying Li
   A Theory for Mixed Vortex Rossbygravity Wave in Tropical Cyclones. Part Ⅰ: Theoretical Analysis Hancheng Lu
   An Eigenfrequency Analysis of Mixed Rossbygravity Waves on Barotropic Vortices(P) Wei Zhong
   A Study on the Tropical Cyclone Remote Precipitationstatistical and Diagnostic Analyses(P) Chunhua Cong
   Study of the Impact of Tropical Cyclone Akash (0701) over the Bay of Bengal on a Heavy Rainfall Event in Southwest China(P) Aimin Lv
  Session D　Forecast Techniques of Rapid Change Events
   Tropical Cyclone Initialization with Dynamical and Physical Constraints Derived from Satellite Data Leiming Ma
   The Generalized PVθ View and Their Applications in the Severe Weather Events Shouting Gao
   Numerical Test for the Effect of Binary Typhoons To the Extreme Rainfall from Typhoon Morakot (0908) Yinglong Xu
   A Selective Ensemble Mean Technique for Tropical Cyclone Track Forecast Using Ensemble Prediction Systems Liangbo Qi
   Statistical Analysis and Numerical Simulation of Poyang Lake’s Influence on Tropical Cyclone Shengjun Zhang
   A Dynamicalstatistical Forecast Model for Western Pacific Named Tropical Cyclones Based on the NCEP Climate Forecast System Xun Li
   An Operational Forecasting Thinking of Torrential Rain Associated with Landfalling Tropical Cyclone Zhengquan Cheng
   Modeling Rapid Intensification of Typhoon Saomai (2006) with the Weather Research and Forecasting Model and Sensitivity to Cloud Microphysical Parameterizations Jie Ming
   A Numerical Study of Impacts of Land Surface Water on Inland Behavior of Typhoon Rananim(0414)(P) Na Wei